Joe Kristufek's Expert Picks

Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Double-check against program numbers before wagering.

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Sunday, November 19, 2017

Printable Sunday Churchill selections

Race 1

#7 Archie’s Girl – Fits well on drop but tough to trust?

#2 Titfortat – Speed of the speed can run them off their feet.

#9 Rockaroo – Usually runs her race; willing finisher.

#10 Cash Dance – Hot pace sets the table for her late kick.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-2-9-10-5-3-1-8-6-4

Race 2

#3 McKinli’sbabyblues – Red flags, or not; tough to gauge.

#7 Urawesomeblossom – Improved with blinks; respect here.

#2 Flatout Happy – Rates for tough team; go to whoa threat.

#1 Tiger Lisa – Improved on drop to this level; hand forced.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-7-2-1/9-8-4-6/10-5

Race 3

#1/1a Upstage/Awestruck – Both halves of entry rate high.

#4 Wholehearted – Has run big races; rates with A-game.

#2 Promise of Spring – Broke through in the mud; upside?

#7 Tiz My Lady – She is what she is; fits well with these.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 1a-1-4-2-7/5-3/6

Race 4

#4 Justa Lady – Has really come into her own; needs a trip.

#1 Delectation – 1st Lasix; Euro class cuts back for this.

#5 Clairenation – Woke up last out to edge talented group.

#6 Pretty Perfection – Fresh face better than ever; dirt too.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-1-5-6-2/9-8-/7-1a-10/3

Race 5

#4 Roussalka – Cuts back turf to dirt & drops off troubled run.

#5 Brilliant Destiny – Placement makes sense for debut.

#1 Bella Moon – Drops in with excuses; must work a trip.

#3 Shotogoodjudgement – Sneaky family; flies under radar.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-5-1-3-6-2/9-7-10-8

Race 6

#3 Salsa’s Return – Drops into win spot for tough team.

#10 Cutacorner – Forgive turf debacle; very capable here.

#6 Sugar Buzz – Claimed out of clunker; bounce back fresh?

#9 Jack Tripp – Forward factor; hangs around late to share.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-10-6-9-8-2-4-1-7-5

Race 7

#2 America’s Tale – Resume stands out on turf or dirt here.

#4 Smart Shot – Major right to improve in second try; fires.

#9 Paddys Class – Decent run in KYD turf debut; consider.

#15 Kitten’s Covergirl – Intriguing pedigree; rates is draws in.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 2-4/9-15-5-1-7-8-11-12-13-14-16-17-6-3

Race 8

#3 Chargin Storm – Early trouble in last two; fits like a glove.

#5 Win With Pride – Capable dropper; Ian shakes the cage.

#10 Oso Ready – Mr. Brad super dangerous first off claim.

#9 Fulkerson – Finally drops to more suitable level; gimmicks.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3/5-10-9-7-6-8-2-4-1

Race 9

#10 Excitations – Very talented; Stall big numbers with blinks.

#9 Grand Candy – Grassy dasher proved he can dirt well too.

#6 Unbridled Outlaw – On edge to fire a fresh shot for Dale.

#7 Western Elegance – Sharp Hawthorne dirt work; maybe.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 10-9-6-7/5-1-4-1a-11-2-8

Race 10

#5 Mississippi – Bet down in debut; even better today.

#4 Bartolome Murillo – Super good family; looks ready.

#7 Sourdough – Solid progression for Mr. Ian; dangerous.

#15 Mojo Man – Dangerous speed; needs some defections.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 5-4-7-15-11-14-1-2-6-8/10-9-16-12-13

Kevin Kerstein's Twitter @horseracingKK

Race 9: #10 Excitations just missed in his last start at Keeneland. The Fair Grounds Racing Club-owned son of Into Mischief could sit a perfect trip from just off the pace with Miguel Mena aboard.

Suggested Play: #10 Excitations

Brandon Stauble's Twitter @bstaubs22

Race 9: 11/12- # 11 Excitations was moving well with blinkers on, last 1/4 in 23.1 with much more available. For valuable information on morning workouts and race day analysis, follow Brandon on Twitter @bstaubs22.

Joe's '17 Top Pick stats (thru November 12)

Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win % WPS %
611 174 97 8428.5% 58.1%

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