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Race Expert
Churchill Downs, Fair Grounds and Twinspires racing analyst Joe Kristufek began his career in his native Chicago, climbing the ladder at the local racing venues. The 1989 rivalry between Kentucky Derby winner Sunday Silence and his nemesis Easy Goer got Joe hooked on horse racing. A self-proclaimed "horse racing ambassador", Joe's industry experience spans from Dubai to Hong Kong to more than 35 tracks across North America.

May 22 2022

Double-check listed numbers against program numbers before wagering.
Selections subject to change on race day due to scratches, off the turf, etc. For the most up to the minute information, tune in to "Churchill Downs Today" presented by twinspires.com one hour before first post every racing day, watch the pre-race paddock shows and follow Joe on Twitter @JoeyDaKRacing.
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Race 1

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2 Ballykeen

Drops in with stretch out speed off forward work tab

4 Freudian

Plenty of chances; finally breaks through?

6 Lunar Ice

Finished well on debut; stretches out at same level

Selections: 2-4-6-7/3-5-1

Race 2

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6 Sweet Spin

Finds clear sailing; best finishing punch

4 Guest in My Heart

Arkansas-bred is what she is; might be good enough here

3 Mizbehaving Sis

Connections willing to cut ties quickly with this homebred

Selections: 6-4-3-5/1-2

Race 3

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7 Gun Lap

Pressed hot pace on the rise; very well intended here

5 Bronze Beast

Adds blinkers off the claim; should get the right trip

2 Ridgepointe

Takes a big drop off speed & fade runs at OP

Selections: 7/5-2-6/4-1-3

Race 4

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7 True Jedi

Held well in fast paced races; should run these off their feet

14 Guest Speaker

Very capable, but has been his own worst enemy so far

13 Let My People Go

Trying to find his niche; should get a piece of this

Selections: 7-14-13/11-10-9-2-3

Race 5

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5 Condiment Girl

Connections snuck one by on debut; good for another

4 Stanley Market

Has found her consistency; added distance?

3 Miss Chamita

Out the back closer runs past tired ones late

Selections: 5-4/3-2-1-6

Race 6

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7 Charge the Line

Sneaky big class drop; seals the deal late?

3 My Man Flintstone

Has run some huge races; should fire fresh

5 David's Gem

Gave the 6-5 favorite all he could handle last out at this level

Selections: 7-3/5-6-8

Race 7

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4 Fair Haired Boy

Game win last out; should sit a similar trip

5 Flags Up

Fits like a glove off the bench; tough with A-game

3 Official Business

Enjoyed a sweet trip & won debut; faces seasoned vets here

Selections: 4-5/3-1-2-6/7

Race 8

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10 Bakwena

Bred to handle distance; blinkers off

11 Kuchar

Looks like the one to beat off the MTO list

8 Jarreau

Distance not a problem; must answer the dirt question

Selections: 10-11-8/5-6

Race 9

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2 The Judge and Jury

Major improvement with blinkers on; square price here

8 Kunshan Bridge

Hung out to dry in route; cuts back for best

7 Acehigh Royal

Just missed on debut; wide trip cost him in last

Selections: 2-8-7-3/1-5/11

Joe's Spring Meet Stats thru May 22

Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win % WPS % $2 ROI*
132 34 27 18 25.9% 59.8% $1.66

*ROI is the return on investment of a $2 win bet of our top pick. An ROI of more than $2.00 indicates profitable selections. The average horseplayer has an ROI of $1.60.

Expert selections by:

Joe Kristufek | Scott Shapiro