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EXPERT PICKS

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 28, 2025 — 12 RACES, 1 PM ET

Pick Five (races 1, 4, 6 & 8), Derby City Six Jackpot (race 7) carryover = $395,317 & $3 Late Pick 3 (race 10) all with a LOW 15% TAKEOUT. 

Churchill Downs Today & simulcast show with Tony Calo, David Levitch & Joe Kristufek at 11:45 AM ET.

Tony Calo

Churchill Downs Racing Analyst as well as Turfway Park and Ellis Park Announcer.

RACE 1

  • 9. LADY UPSTART

    HER RACE TWO BACK IS MORE THAN GOOD ENOUGH TO WIN THE OPENER

Selections:

9-2/4-7

Race 2

  • 6. TIZMATIC

    DQED FROM FIRST RUN, NOW DROPS INTO A LIVE LEVEL

Selections:

6-1/4-9

Race 3

  • 7. TRUSTY TROUTMAN

    HER ONE TURN RACES ARE PRETTY GOOD

Selections:

7-6/1-2-3

Race 4

  • 8. WINDY BAY

    LAST TWO TIMES IN FOR A TAG WERE PRETTY GOOD

Selections:

8-4-3/1-9

Race 5

  • 3. SWAGGISH

    HE HAS SOME RACES IN NY THAT WOULD MAKE HIM VERY PLAYABLE HERE

Selections:

3-8-11/4-6-7

Race 6

  • 6. WEIGHTED AVERAGE

    FLASHY MAIDEN WIN OVER THE COURSE, CAN STRIKE RIGHT BACK

Selections:

6/9-5-1

Race 7

  • 3. LEND IT TEWMEY

    REAL COOL RACEHORSE WHO GIVES HIS ALL

Selections:

3-9/4/8-5

Race 8

  • 8. MEZCALIFORNIA

    FORM IS VERY GOOD OF LATE, SECOND TIME WEAVER

Selections:

8-7/4/3

Race 9

  • 6. MAJOR DAX

    NOT A BAD RETURN RACE AFTER A LENGTHY LAYOFF

Selections:

6-10/9-1-2-3

Race 10

  • 1. LUSH LIPS

    SHE'S THE FILLY WITH THE BEST RESUME AND THE MOST TALENT

Selections:

1/10-4-9

Race 11

  • 9. MAGNITUDE

    HE IS AN EXTREMELY TALENTED RACEHORSE, EXPECTING A BIG EFFORT

Selections:

9-6-3/2-4-5

Race 12

  • 6. VITAL MIND

    VERY GAME IN DEBUT DEFEAT, SOLID WORKS FOR THE COMEBACK

Selections:

6/10-4-8-2

JOE K'S 2025 FALL STATS THROUGH 11-28-25

RACES                                           138
'A' COLUMN WINS 71
'A' COLUMN WIN % 51.4%
TOP PICK WINS 45
2ND 29
3RD 14
WIN % 32.6%
WPS % 63.8%
$2 ROI $1.89
$6 WPS ROI $5.11

KAITLIN'S 2025 FALL STATS

RACES                                           73
'A' COLUMN WINS 36
'A' COLUMN WIN % 49.3%
TOP PICK WINS 15
2ND 13
3RD 8
WIN % 20.5%
WPS % 49.3%
$2 ROI $1.44
$6 WPS ROI $4.98

KILROY'S 2025 FALL STATS THROUGH 11-8

RACES                                           69
'A' COLUMN WINS 35
'A' COLUMN WIN % 51%
TOP PICK WINS 17
2ND 11
3RD 5
WIN % 25%
WPS % 48%
$2 TOP PICKS ROI $1.77
$6 WPS ROI $4.76

TONY'S FALL STATS 2025 THROUGH 11-23

RACES                                           161
'A' COLUMN WINS 81
'A' COLUMN WIN % 50.4%
TOP PICK WINS 38
2ND 35
3RD 21
WIN % 23.6%
WPS % 58.3%
$2 ROI $1.58
$6 WPS ROI $5.13

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